توسعۀ آب‌محور ترکیه در حوضه آبریز فرامرزی ارس

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه مهندسی آبیاری و آبادانی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشکدگان کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی، دانشگاه تهران، البرز، ایران.

2 گروه مهندسی و مدیریت آب، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران.

10.22059/jwim.2023.361889.1086

چکیده

بهره‌برداری از آب در حوضه‌های آبریز فرامرزی به‌طور مستقیم تحت تأثیر عوامل متعدد از جمله مناسبات سیاسی و امنیتی بین دولت­ها قرار دارد و می­تواند راهبردها و مناسبات سیاستی و امنیتی آن‌ها را نیز تحت تأثیر قرار دهد. این پژوهش به بررسی اقدامات ترکیه در حوضه آبریز فرامرزی ارس، به‌عنوان بخشی از ابرپروژه داپ می‌پردازد. برای تحلیل اطلاعات از روش توصیفی تحلیلیاستفاده شده است و تحلیلی از وضعیت هیدروپلتیکی ترکیه در حوضه آبریز ارس ارائه شده است. نتایج نشان می‌دهند که با توجه به مستندات موجود، با تکمیل ابرپروژه‌های سازه‌ای ترکیه در حوضه آبریز فرامرزی ارس، این کشور قادر خواهد بود حدود 83 درصد از پتانسیل آبی این حوضه آبریز فرامرزی در خاک خود را مهار و کنترل کند. این در حالی است که به‌دلیل تبعات جبران‌ناپذیر این طرح‌ها، ترکیه در صدد است تا با بهره­گیری از ابزار­ تحریف‌ گفتمان، از شکل‌گیری اعتراضات کشورهای پایین‌دست حوضه آبریز به اقدامات این کشور پیشگیری کند. 

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله [English]

Turkey's water-oriented development in the Aras Transboundary River Basin

نویسندگان [English]

  • Saeed Nastarani Amoghin 1
  • Seyedeh Zahra Ghoreishi 1
  • Hojjat Mianabadi 2
  • Atefeh Parvaresh Rizi 1
1 Department of Irrigation & Reclamation Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, College of Agriculture & Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Alborz, Iran.
2 Department of Water Engineering and Management, Faculty of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran.
چکیده [English]

In transboundary river basins, the utilization of water is influenced by the political and security relations between the co-riparians, which can impact their political and security strategies. This article examines Turkey's actions in the Aras transboundary river basin, a part of the DAP mega-project. Furthermore, information regarding Turkey's hydropolitical situation in the Aras River basin was obtained through the analytical descriptive method. The findings indicate that Turkey will have control over approximately 83 percent of the potential of the Aras River basins within its territory upon the completion of its mega-projects in the Aras transboundary river basins. However, due to the irreversible consequences of these plans, Turkey is striving to prevent the emergence of protests among downstream countries through the use of sanctioned discourse.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • DAP Mega-Project
  • Hydraulics missions
  • Hydropolitics
  • Sanctioned Discourse
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