Explaining the Future Scenarios of the Hydro Political Relations of the Border Rivers of Iran and Iraq

Document Type : Research Paper


1 . Department of Political Geography, Faculty of Geography, Kharazmi university, Tehran, Iran.

2 department of political Geography, faculty of Geography, kharazmi university, Tehran, Iran

3 Water Research Institute, Ministry of Energy Water Research Institute, Tehran, Iran.



The entanglement of power relations with the interactions of societies and political-spatial units over fresh water resources is in the field of hydro politics. Those rivers that cross international borders or its different parts are located in the territory of several countries, have had more frequency in hydro political researches. The purpose of this article, which is of a practical nature, is to explain the possible scenarios for the future hydro political relations of the border and joint rivers of Iran and Iraq. The research methodology is descriptive- analytical. The data needed for the research has been collected by library and field method (interview and questionnaire) and analyzed using FCOPRAS, FSOARA, SAW models and Micmac and Scenario Wizard software. The results of the research showed that out of 31 possible situations related to seven scenario models with strong and likely compatibility, the situations that describe the future hydro political relations of the border and common rivers of Iran and Iraq as critical, the most possible situations are in they take. Therefore, the future situation of the hydro political relations of the border and joint rivers of Iran and Iraq has become critical.


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